Prediction: Error Analysis & Misconceptions

Mathematics
Year 9
12 questions
~24 mins
1 views0 downloads

About This Worksheet

A worksheet focusing on the concept of prediction in probability, highlighting common errors and misconceptions. Includes procedural practice, real-world scenarios, and challenging extension questions.

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Prediction: Error Analysis & Misconceptions

Subject: MathematicsGrade: Year 9
Name:
Date:
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Untitled Worksheet

Grade Year 9
A

Introduction

Read the key concept below before attempting the questions.
1.
Expected frequency is calculated using the formula: Expected Frequency = Total Number of Trials × Probability of an Event. This allows us to predict how often an event should occur in repeated trials.
[2 marks]
B

Practice Questions

Answer all questions. Show your working in the grid spaces provided.
1.
A bag contains 5 red balls and 15 blue balls. If a ball is randomly selected 60 times, estimate the expected number of red balls drawn.
[3 marks]
2.
In a survey, the probability of a student choosing to study mathematics is 0.25. If 120 students are surveyed, what is the expected number of students who choose mathematics?
[3 marks]
3.
Calculate the expected frequency of a rare event that occurs with a probability of 0.02 in 500 trials.
[4 marks]
4.
A fair die is rolled 240 times. What is the expected number of times a 4 will appear?
[3 marks]
5.
If the probability of rain tomorrow is 0.3, predict the expected number of rainy days in a 30-day month.
[3 marks]
6.
A factory produces 200 widgets, with a defect rate of 2%. What is the expected number of defective widgets?
[3 marks]
7.
A card is drawn from a standard deck 50 times. The probability of drawing an ace is 4/52. Estimate the expected number of aces drawn.
[3 marks]
8.
A survey shows that 60% of people prefer coffee over tea. If 150 people are surveyed, what is the expected number who prefer coffee?
[3 marks]
9.
A machine produces 1000 items, with a defect probability of 0.005. Calculate the expected number of defective items.
[4 marks]
10.
A student flips a coin 150 times. What is the expected number of heads?
[3 marks]
11.
Common mistake: A student calculates expected frequency as Total Trials ÷ Probability. Explain why this is incorrect and provide the correct formula.
[2 marks]

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Details

Created
1/1/2026
Updated
1/1/2026
Type
worksheet